The WNBA's Toronto Tempo and Connecticut Sun are set to face off in a highly anticipated rematch on Friday, June 19, 2026. The first meeting between these two teams ended in a thrilling overtime victory for the Tempo, but the narrative is poised to shift in this second encounter. The Tempo, currently sitting at 7-8, are favored by 1.5 points, with odds of -125 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Conversely, the Sun, struggling at 2-14, offer odds of +105 for an upset victory. The game total is set at 167.5 points, indicating a high-scoring affair. This match-up is crucial as both teams are aiming to break their respective losing streaks and improve their standings.
The Tempo's offensive prowess is evident in their league rankings. They boast the fifth-highest scoring average at 88.8 points per game and rank eighth in offensive rating, tenth in field goal percentage, and eighth in three-point percentage. However, their defensive shortcomings are notable, as they allow opponents to score an average of 91.3 points per game, ranking last in the WNBA. The Tempo's defensive rating, opponent field goal percentage, and opponent three-point percentage also place them in the lower half of the league.
On the other hand, the Sun's offensive struggles are reflected in their league rankings. They score an average of 78.1 points per game, ranking 14th, and have the worst offensive rating in the league. Their defensive performance is also below par, with opponents averaging 89.1 points per game, ranking 13th. The Sun's defensive rating, opponent field goal percentage, and opponent three-point percentage are all in the lower half of the league.
The key to this game lies in the absence of key players for the Tempo. Brittney Sykes, a leading scorer with averages of 20.1 points, 3.8 rebounds, and 3.5 assists, is out due to a left foot injury. Kiki Rice will also sit out, while Nyara Sabally's status is questionable with a hamstring injury. This loss of offensive firepower could significantly impact the Tempo's performance.
In contrast, the Sun has been struggling with injuries, but they have shown glimpses of potential. Aneesah Morrow leads the team with 11.9 points and 10.4 rebounds per game, while Brittney Griner, despite battling injuries, contributes 11.6 points and 4.5 rebounds. Leila Lacan and Aaliyah Edwards also provide valuable scoring. However, the Sun's overall performance has been hindered by their poor defensive showing.
The first meeting between these teams showcased the Sun's ability to control the game, leading for 72% of the time and out-rebounding the Tempo 42-28. The Tempo's defensive weaknesses were exposed, and the absence of key players could exacerbate this issue. The Sun's interior dominance, led by Brittney Griner's 7.0 attempts per game in the paint, will be a significant factor in their favor.
In conclusion, while the Tempo are favored, the Sun's opportunity to capitalize on the Tempo's injuries and their own defensive shortcomings cannot be overlooked. The Sun's interior production and the Tempo's defensive vulnerabilities make this a compelling match-up. The Sun's chances of securing their third win of the season are improved, and I predict they will take advantage of their shorthanded opponents. The Moneyline odds of +105 for the Sun offer an attractive proposition for those seeking an upset.
